Shawn Robbins founded Box Office Theory in 2011 as a forecasting and analysis outlet that expanded to include a thriving forum of movie fans. Including time writing since 2012, he was the exclusive vendor of domestic box office forecasts to while also serving members of the National Association of Theatre Owners from 2016 through early 2024. He previously served as a community manager for Box Office Mojo.

Shawn is considered one of the field's foremost experts, providing a balance of data-driven and common sense insights on the state and evolution of the motion picture and theatrical business.

Throughout his career, Shawn has worked with and consulted multiple high-profile industry clients. His writings are widely considered "must read" to theatrical exhibition, studio executives, agents, producers, and other partners. His industry insights, weekend predictions, long range forecasts and analyses are unsurpassed in public forms.

Who We Are

Welcome to Box Office Theory, where we merge the art of cinema with the science of analytics.

At Box Office Theory, we are pioneers in the realm of consultation, research, and forecasting services tailored exclusively for the dynamic landscape of the motion picture industry. With a dedicated focus on both quantitative and qualitative analysis, we offer invaluable insights to theatrical exhibition venues, film studios, and their multifaceted partners.

Our team comprises seasoned analysts, industry experts, and data scientists who possess a profound understanding of the intricate workings of the entertainment sector. Through meticulous research methodologies and cutting-edge forecasting techniques, we provide actionable intelligence that empowers our clients to make informed decisions in a fast-paced and ever-evolving market.


Box Office Theory is a consultation, research, and forecasting service specializing in quantitative and qualitative analysis for the motion picture business, theatrical exhibition, film studios and their many partners. Among many goals, through dedicated expert analysis, founder and owner Shawn Robbins seeks to develop the industry's level of information and planning abilities amid an ever-evolving market in a highly competitive media landscape.

Drawing inspiration from the success stories of leading industry players, we continually refine our methodologies to stay ahead of the curve. Our commitment to excellence is reflected in our track record of delivering accurate projections and actionable recommendations, which have become indispensable tools for our clients as they navigate the complexities of the film industry.

Whether you're a film studio seeking to optimize your release strategy, a theatrical exhibitor aiming to enhance audience engagement, or a partner looking to capitalize on emerging trends, Box Office Theory is your trusted ally in unlocking the full potential of the silver screen.

Join us on this exhilarating journey where creativity meets analysis, and together, let's redefine the future of entertainment.