Key Tracking Factors & Rationale:
- Resident Evil update
- Clayface analysis
- Additional forecast updates
- Full long range forecasts available to our Substack subscribers
4-Week Box Office Tracking & Forecasts
as of 9/17/26
(click or tap image to expand)
Full 5-Week analysis and long range forecasts available to our Substack subscribers
Release Date |
Title |
Distributor |
3-Day (FSS) LOW-END Opening |
3-Day (FSS) HIGH-END Opening |
3-Day (FSS) PINPOINT Opening Forecast |
Domestic Total LOW-END |
Domestic Total HIGH-END |
Domestic Total PINPOINT Forecast |
9/25/2026 |
Avengers Endgame: Encore |
Disney |
$19,000,000 |
$28,000,000 |
$22,500,000 |
$26,400,000 |
$40,000,000 |
$33,300,000 |
9/25/2026 |
Forgotten Island |
Universal Pictures |
$14,000,000 |
$19,000,000 |
$15,500,000 |
$45,000,000 |
$70,000,000 |
$58,000,000 |
9/25/2026 |
Heart of the Beast |
Paramount Pictures |
$14,000,000 |
$19,000,000 |
$17,000,000 |
$38,000,000 |
$69,000,000 |
$49,000,000 |
9/25/2026 |
Primetime |
A24 |
$9,000,000 |
$15,000,000 |
$10,500,000 |
$20,000,000 |
$38,000,000 |
$27,000,000 |
10/2/2026 |
Digger |
Warner Bros. Pictures |
$20,000,000 |
$29,000,000 |
$23,500,000 |
$57,000,000 |
$129,000,000 |
$102,000,000 |
10/2/2026 |
Verity |
Amazon MGM Studios |
$15,000,000 |
$25,000,000 |
$19,000,000 |
$38,000,000 |
$70,000,000 |
$48,700,000 |
10/4/2026 |
Adore Him: He Is Here |
Fathom Entertainment |
$1,000,000 |
$5,000,000 |
$2,500,000 |
$1,000,000 |
$5,000,000 |
$2,500,000 |
10/9/2026 |
Angel and the Badman |
Angel Studios |
$2,000,000 |
$5,000,000 |
$2,500,000 |
$4,500,000 |
$14,000,000 |
$6,900,000 |
10/9/2026 |
Other Mommy |
Universal Pictures |
$28,500,000 |
$35,000,000 |
$31,000,000 |
$69,000,000 |
$110,000,000 |
$81,000,000 |
10/9/2026 |
The Social Reckoning |
Sony Pictures |
$9,000,000 |
$14,000,000 |
$12,000,000 |
$25,000,000 |
$50,000,000 |
$38,000,000 |
10/16/2026 |
Street Fighter (2026) |
Paramount Pictures |
$25,000,000 |
$35,000,000 |
$30,000,000 |
$50,000,000 |
$86,000,000 |
$65,000,000 |
10/16/2026 |
Whalefall |
Disney |
$12,000,000 |
$17,000,000 |
$15,000,000 |
$34,000,000 |
$50,000,000 |
$43,000,000 |
10/23/2026 |
Ali G.: Who Iz I? |
Amazon MGM Studios |
$2,000,000 |
$7,000,000 |
$5,000,000 |
$4,000,000 |
$15,000,000 |
$9,000,000 |
10/23/2026 |
Clayface |
Warner Bros. Pictures |
$20,000,000 |
$30,000,000 |
$26,000,000 |
$35,000,000 |
$75,000,000 |
$59,000,000 |
10/23/2026 |
Klara and the Sun |
Sony Pictures |
$3,000,000 |
$8,000,000 |
$5,500,000 |
$7,000,000 |
$25,000,000 |
$13,750,000 |
10/23/2026 |
Wildwood |
Fathom Entertainment |
$7,000,000 |
$13,000,000 |
$10,000,000 |
$21,500,000 |
$49,000,000 |
$25,000,000 |
All forecasts and tracking ranges are reflective of how the films are trending or expected to trend ahead of release. They are not intended as final forecasts or predictions and are subject to revision at any time based on evolving market conditions and various circumstances factored into our modeling.
