The full version of this report appears in Box Office Theory’s Substack newsletter.
Street Fighter (Paramount)
BOT Domestic Opening Weekend Forecast Range: $22 — 32 million
You Can See Everything (A24)
BOT Domestic Opening Weekend Forecast Range: $8 — 13 million
Whalefall (Disney)
BOT Domestic Opening Weekend Forecast Range: $5 — 9 million
Sense and Sensibility (Focus)
BOT Domestic Opening Weekend Forecast Range: $4 — 7 million
Key Tracking Factors & Rationale:
- Street Fighter marks the latest video game adaptation to hit cinemas this year and should benefit from its IMAX and PLF presence, plus a matinee-friendly PG-13 rating. Key demos include men of all ages with a lean toward 35+ thanks to the legacy IP branding, not unlike Masters of the Universe and Mortal Kombat II. A late review embargo (Thursday morning) drives some concern in final forecasts.
- (view the complete report in our Substack newsletter)
Weekend Forecast
(view the complete top 5 forecast in our Substack newsletter)
All forecasts above are subject to revision prior to the start of the weekend and will be notated accordingly. Theater counts are estimated unless otherwise stated.
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