Tracking & Forecasts

Box Office Weekend Forecast: Johnny Depp and Ti West’s EBENEZER ($20-23M+), GHOST SOLDIER and HOW TO ROB A BANK Hope to Rival GODZILLA MINUS ZERO’s Sophomore Frame

Photo Credits: Paramount ("Ebenezer"); Kôzô Shibasaki & GKIDS ("Godzilla Minus Zero")

Numbers only this week.

The full version of this report appears in Box Office Theory’s Substack newsletter.

Ebenezer (Paramount)
BOT Domestic Opening Weekend Forecast Range: $20 — 27 million
Traditional Studio Tracking: $20 million

Ghost Soldier (Sony)
BOT Domestic Opening Weekend Forecast Range: $4.5 — 8 million (5-Day Wed-Sun)

How to Rob a Bank (Amazon MGM)
BOT Domestic Opening Weekend Forecast Range: $3.5 — 8 million
Traditional Studio Tracking: $6 million-plus

Key Tracking Factors & Rationale:

  • Numbers only this week.

Weekend Forecast

(view the complete top 5 forecast in our Substack newsletter)

Film
Distributor
3-Day (Fri-Sun) Weekend Forecast
3-Day Change from Last Weekend
Projected Domestic Total through Sunday, Nov 15
Estimated Location Count (as of Tue)
Ebenezer
Paramount
$23,500,000
NEW
$23,500,000
3,500
Godzilla Minus Zero
GKIDS
$11,800,000
-61%
$53,300,000
3,254
The Cat in the Hat
Warner Bros.
$10,600,000
-47%
$36,800,000
4,003
You Can See Everything
A24
$5,900,000
-30%
$88,700,000
2,000
How to Rob a Bank
Amazon MGM
$5,500,000
NEW
$5,500,000
2,810
Other Key Performers:
Wildwood
Fathom Entertainment
Drummer Boy
Angel
Ghost Soldier
Sony
NEW
Dune and Dune: Part Two (Re-Issues)
Warner Bros.
NEW
Victorian Psycho
Bleecker Street
NEW

All forecasts above are subject to revision prior to the start of the weekend and will be notated accordingly. Theater counts are estimated unless otherwise stated.

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