Boldly go to rest in peace, Sir Patrick Stewart.
Notes, Key Tracking Factors & Rationale:
- Crazy week. Not much time for a full write-up. So, as a (sorta) bonus, we’re combining this weekend’s top five forecast with the five-week long-range update.
- The biggest update: Pre-sales began for The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping and early indications are it could be the next blockbuster over-performer (relative to earlier expectations).
5-Week Box Office Tracking & Forecasts
as of 10/29/26
Complete forecasts and % changes available to our Substack subscribers
Release Date |
Title |
Distributor |
3-Day (FSS) LOW-END Opening |
3-Day (FSS) HIGH-END Opening |
3-Day (FSS) PINPOINT Opening Forecast |
Domestic Total LOW-END |
Domestic Total HIGH-END |
Domestic Total PINPOINT Forecast |
11/5/2026 |
Ramayana |
Sony |
$11,000,000 |
$16,000,000 |
$13,000,000 |
$21,000,000 |
$32,000,000 |
$22,000,000 |
11/6/2026 |
The Cat in the Hat (2026) |
Warner Bros. Pictures |
$16,000,000 |
$24,000,000 |
$21,000,000 |
$69,000,000 |
$110,000,000 |
$86,000,000 |
11/6/2026 |
Drummer Boy |
Angel Studios |
$2,000,000 |
$5,000,000 |
$2,500,000 |
$4,000,000 |
$13,000,000 |
$6,000,000 |
11/6/2026 |
Godzilla Minus Zero |
GKIDS |
$25,000,000 |
$35,000,000 |
$29,000,000 |
$53,000,000 |
$94,000,000 |
$70,000,000 |
11/6/2026 |
I Play Rocky (Limited) |
Amazon MGM Studios |
$400,000 |
$800,000 |
$500,000 |
|||
11/6/2026 |
Jimmy |
Fathom Entertainment |
$2,500,000 |
$6,000,000 |
$3,000,000 |
$5,000,000 |
$13,000,000 |
$7,500,000 |
11/6/2026 |
Wild Horse Nine |
Disney |
$2,000,000 |
$6,000,000 |
$3,000,000 |
$5,000,000 |
$20,000,000 |
$12,000,000 |
11/11/2026 |
Ghost Soldier |
Sony Pictures |
$4,000,000 |
$9,000,000 |
$4,400,000 |
$10,000,000 |
$26,000,000 |
$14,000,000 |
11/13/2026 |
Ebenezer: A Christmas Carol |
Paramount Pictures |
$17,000,000 |
$24,000,000 |
$20,000,000 |
$68,000,000 |
$125,000,000 |
$102,000,000 |
11/13/2026 |
How to Rob a Bank |
Amazon MGM Studios |
$7,000,000 |
$15,000,000 |
$10,000,000 |
$17,000,000 |
$45,000,000 |
$28,500,000 |
11/13/2026 |
Victorian Psycho |
Bleecker Street |
$2,500,000 |
$5,000,000 |
$4,000,000 |
$5,000,000 |
$15,000,000 |
$10,000,000 |
11/20/2026 |
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping |
Lionsgate |
$101,000,000 |
$130,000,000 |
$116,000,000 |
$251,000,000 |
$371,000,000 |
$319,000,000 |
11/25/2026 |
Disney’s Hexed |
Disney |
$30,000,000 |
$40,000,000 |
$34,500,000 |
$120,000,000 |
$208,000,000 |
$151,000,000 |
11/25/2026 |
Focker-In-Law |
Universal Pictures |
$30,000,000 |
$40,000,000 |
$36,000,000 |
$101,000,000 |
$155,000,000 |
$134,000,000 |
11/25/2026 |
Hershey |
Angel Studios |
$2,000,000 |
$6,000,000 |
$3,000,000 |
$5,000,000 |
$19,000,000 |
$8,700,000 |
12/4/2026 |
Violent Night 2 |
Universal Pictures |
$10,000,000 |
$18,000,000 |
$15,000,000 |
$25,000,000 |
$54,000,000 |
$40,000,000 |
All forecasts and tracking ranges are reflective of how the films are trending or expected to trend ahead of release. They are not intended as final forecasts or predictions and are subject to revision at any time based on evolving market conditions and various circumstances factored into our modeling.
Weekend Top 5 Forecast (October 30 – November 1)
as of 10/28/26
Film |
Distributor |
3-Day (Fri-Sun) Weekend Forecast |
3-Day Change from Last Weekend |
Projected Domestic Total through Sunday, Nov 1 |
Estimated Location Count (as of Tue) |
You Can See Everything |
A24 |
$13,000,000 |
-33% |
$66,900,000 |
2,655 |
Clayface |
Warner Bros. |
$12,400,000 |
-48% |
$46,200,000 |
3,458 |
Wildwood |
Fathom Entertainment |
$7,400,000 |
-40% |
$22,300,000 |
2,800 |
Street Fighter (2026) |
Paramount |
$5,200,000 |
-39% |
$55,600,000 |
2,700 |
Wicker |
Black Bear |
$3,500,000 |
-39% |
$11,600,000 |
1,471 |
Other Key Performers: |
|||||
Christmas at the Kringles |
Briarcliff |
$2,000,000 |
NEW |
$2,000,000 |
1,825 |