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Scream 7
BOT Domestic Weekend Forecast Range: $45 — 55 million
Traditional Studio Tracking: $40 million
Key Tracking Factors & Rationale:
- Horror has regularly come to the aid of a light between-seasons box office in recent years, and this weekend looks like a repeat of that narrative as Scream 7 continues pacing for what should be one of the best debuts in franchise history. The top two openings belong to 2023’s Scream VI ($44.45 million) and 2000’s Scream 3 ($34.7 million).
- Social buzz and pre-sale activity remain on a strong pace with trends highly comparable to the 2023 sequel at the same point in time. The R-rated Scream series is typically more front-loaded in sales windows than the likes of walk-up heavy franchises like The Conjuring or Five Nights at Freddy‘s and its PG-13 crowd, but all in, foundations are set for a strong debut.
- As previously reported, key drivers in interest for this entry come down to the return of legacy actors Neve Campbell, Courtney Cox, and other potential (unconfirmed) surprises speculated about online such as Matthew Lillard and David Arquette. The excitement comes despite initial concerns last year and in recent months over backlash toward prior cast and filmmaker departures, most notably Melissa Barrera and Jenna Ortega.
- With a full premium screen spread and a franchise-first release in IMAX, interest in a cinematic horror event will be in full swing this weekend.
- Also opening is the special engagement of Twenty One Pilots: More Than We Ever Imagined from Trafalgar Releasing. It will share limited IMAX showtimes with the Paramount tentpole and counter-program with the musical duo’s fan base driving the vast majority of business.
Weekend Forecast
(table below is best viewed in desktop format)
This weekend’s top 10 films are tracking to earn a projected $85 million+. That would be 90 percent above the same weekend in 2025 ($45.1 million, led by Captain America: Brave New World‘s $14.85 million third frame) and 9 percent below the same weekend in 2019 ($94.4 million, led by How to Train Your Dragon: The Hidden World‘s $30 million sophomore weekend).
Film |
Distributor |
3-Day (Fri-Sun) Weekend Forecast |
3-Day Change from Last Weekend |
Projected Domestic Total through Sunday, March 1 |
Expected Location Count (as of Tue) |
Scream 7 |
Paramount |
$51,700,000 |
NEW |
$51,700,000 |
~3,500 |
GOAT |
Sony |
$12,000,000 |
-29% |
$74,300,000 |
~3,700 |
Wuthering Heights |
Warner Bros. |
$6,000,000 |
-57% |
$70,800,000 |
~3,300 |
I Can Only Imagine 2 |
Lionsgate |
$3,600,000 |
-53% |
$13,900,000 |
~3,105 |
Crime 101 |
Amazon MGM |
$3,200,000 |
-42% |
$29,600,000 |
~2,900 |
Send Help |
Disney (20th) |
$2,200,000 |
-50% |
$59,100,000 |
~2,200 |
Twenty One Pilots: More Than We Ever Imagined |
Trafalgar Releasing |
$2,100,000 |
NEW |
$3,700,000 |
~750 |
EPiC: Elvis Presley in Concert |
Universal Pictures |
$1,900,000 |
-41% |
$6,500,000 |
~1,200 |
Zootopia 2 |
Disney |
$1,700,000 |
-24% |
$426,100,000 |
~1,500 |
How to Make a Killing |
A24 |
$1,400,000 |
-61% |
$6,200,000 |
~1,625 |
All forecasts above are subject to revision prior to the start of the weekend and will be notated accordingly. Theater counts are estimated unless otherwise stated.
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