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Tracking & Forecasts

20 Feb 2026
Tracking & Forecasts

Box Office Tracking & Forecasts: Universal and Illumination’s THE SUPER MARIO GALAXY MOVIE Likely to Claim 2026’s First $100M+ Domestic Launch

  • February 20, 2026
  • By author-avatar Shawn Robbins

Universal and Illumination enjoyed a historic Easter weekend performance three years ago with an incredibly beloved, made-for-everyone animated adaptation. They’re about to do it again.

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18 Feb 2026
Tracking & Forecasts

Box Office Weekend Forecast: GOAT Eyes Probable Top Spot After Breakout Debut, But Is I CAN ONLY IMAGINE 2 Being Underestimated?

  • February 20, 2026
  • By author-avatar Shawn Robbins

Following a wild holiday weekend that threw multiple wrenches into projections, a slow release period returns as GOAT’s second frame hopes to fend off I CAN ONLY IMAGINE 2.

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13 Feb 2026
Tracking & Forecasts

Box Office Tracking & Forecasts: SCREAM 7’s Early Pre-Sales Slash Franchise Records; WUTHERING HEIGHTS Still on Target for Valentine’s Day Breakout

  • February 13, 2026
  • By author-avatar Shawn Robbins

SCREAM 7 is hot in early ticket trends, sending forecasts northward. PROJECT HAIL MARY early access shows go on sale, while WUTHERING HEIGHTS starts strong on Thursday.

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11 Feb 2026
Tracking & Forecasts

Box Office Weekend Forecast: WUTHERING HEIGHTS ($47M+ 4-Day), GOAT ($17M+), and CRIME 101 ($11.5M+) to Anchor Valentine’s and Presidents Day Double-Holiday Frame

  • February 11, 2026
  • By author-avatar Shawn Robbins

After a few slow weeks to start 2026, theaters can start depending less on holdovers and more on new movies flooding their screens this weekend.

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06 Feb 2026
Tracking & Forecasts

Box Office Tracking & Forecasts: PROJECT HAIL MARY ($40-45M+) Eyes Career-High Launch for Ryan Gosling, Possible Best for Amazon MGM; How Far Can the Andy Weir Adaptation Go?

  • February 6, 2026
  • By author-avatar Shawn Robbins

As WUTHERING HEIGHTS continues to take shape as 2026’s first hit tentpole next week, PROJECT HAIL MARY is increasingly poised to deliver a key early spring box office breakout.

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04 Feb 2026
Tracking & Forecasts

Box Office Weekend Forecast: Super Bowl LX Frame May Approach a 37-Year Low as SEND HELP and IRON LUNG Hope to Repeat Amid Counter-Programming Openers

  • February 4, 2026
  • By author-avatar Shawn Robbins

Despite several openers and last week’s over-performers offering some holdover presence, this looks to be one of the lowest grossing Super Bowl weekends in nearly four decades.

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30 Jan 2026
Tracking & Forecasts

Box Office Tracking & Forecasts: WUTHERING HEIGHTS, GOAT, SCREAM 7 and More Driving February Optimism; SEND HELP ($15M+) and IRON LUNG ($12M+) Strong Out of the Gate

  • January 30, 2026
  • By author-avatar Shawn Robbins

Another slow January is coming to a close, but theaters and movie fans have reason to start getting excited for a variety of mid-winter and early spring titles.

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28 Jan 2026
Tracking & Forecasts

Box Office Weekend Forecast: SEND HELP ($12-15M+), IRON LUNG ($6-7M+), MELANIA ($4M+), and SHELTER ($4M+) Aim to Modestly Relieve Some Winter Doldrums

  • January 28, 2026
  • By author-avatar Shawn Robbins

Following a devastating winter storm, could Sam Raimi’s buzzy dark comedy-survival-thriller help moviegoers cure some cabin fever this weekend?

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23 Jan 2026
Tracking & Forecasts

Box Office Tracking & Forecasts: Nate Bargatze’s THE BREADWINNER ($15-19M+) Could Be an Early 2026 Sleeper Hit; Colleen Hoover’s REMINDERS OF HIM Early Outlook and More Updates

  • January 23, 2026
  • By author-avatar Shawn Robbins

Nate Bargatze has dominated the comedy and entertainment worlds in recent years with a far-from-overnight success story. How could his leap to the big screen perform?

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21 Jan 2026
Tracking & Forecasts

Box Office Weekend Forecast: MERCY ($8-10M+) Should Dethrone AVATAR; Fathom’s LORD OF THE RINGS Anniversary Continues; NFL and Winter Weather May Be Problematic

  • January 21, 2026
  • By author-avatar Shawn Robbins

A new #1 film may actually come to fruition for the first time in over a month, but American football playoffs and a significant winter storm could hold back much of the domestic market.

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At Box Office Theory, we're committed to elevating the industry's level of information and planning abilities. With a team of dedicated experts, we provide invaluable insights for theatrical exhibition, film studios, and their vast network of partners. Through meticulous analysis and forward-thinking strategies, we empower our clients to navigate the complexities of the entertainment landscape with confidence.

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