Box Office Tracking & Forecasts: Nate Bargatze’s THE BREADWINNER ($15-19M+) Could Be an Early 2026 Sleeper Hit; Colleen Hoover’s REMINDERS OF HIM Early Outlook and More Updates
Nate Bargatze has dominated the comedy and entertainment worlds in recent years with a far-from-overnight success story. How could his leap to the big screen perform?
Box Office Weekend Forecast: MERCY ($8-10M+) Should Dethrone AVATAR; Fathom’s LORD OF THE RINGS Anniversary Continues; NFL and Winter Weather May Be Problematic
A new #1 film may actually come to fruition for the first time in over a month, but American football playoffs and a significant winter storm could hold back much of the domestic market.
Box Office Tracking & Forecasts: THE BRIDE! and HOPPERS ($15-18M+ Each); 28 YEARS LATER: THE BONE TEMPLE Trending for $15M 4-Day Start
Early outlooks for the first of March’s new release crop, plus updated expectations for this weekend’s 28 YEARS LATER: THE BONE TEMPLE.
Box Office Weekend Forecast: 28 YEARS LATER: THE BONE TEMPLE ($20M+ 4-Day) to Dethrone AVATAR: FIRE AND ASH’s 5th Frame ($17-19M+), LORD OF THE RINGS Anniversary to Stand Out for MLK Frame
This MLK frame will the deliver the box office’s first new #1 film since mid-December, while holdovers and a special Lord of the Rings event will serve as positive narratives.
Box Office Tracking & Forecasts: WUTHERING HEIGHTS ($50M+) and SCREAM 7 ($28-32M+) to Anchor February and Another Slow Winter Calendar
Can WUTHERING HEIGHTS echo some of the previous decade’s blockbuster romantic hits for Valentine’s? Will SCREAM 7 overcome external discourse and the absence of young stars?
Box Office Weekend Forecast: AVATAR: FIRE AND ASH to Rule 4th Straight Weekend; GREENLAND 2 and PRIMATE Counter for Post-New Year’s Business Against NFL Playoffs
2026’s post-holiday slate may lack major tentpoles in the near future, but (for now) the box office calendar is at least poised for a net-gain compared to the same window last year.
Box Office 4-Day Weekend Forecast (Updated): AVATAR: FIRE AND ASH to Lead as MARTY SUPREME, ANACONDA, and SONG SUNG BLUE Bow on Crowded Christmas Frame
There is something for almost everyone in theaters this weekend. What will the box office hits (and possible misses) of Christmas 2025 be?
6-Week Box Office Tracking & Forecasts: ANACONDA, MARTY SUPREME and Christmas Week Updates; First Outlooks for SEND HELP and January Release Check-Ins
As 2025 winds down, brace for shifting forecasts in the type of crowded market that hasn’t appeared during the holiday window for a few years.
Box Office Weekend Forecast: AVATAR: FIRE AND ASH ($85M+), DAVID, THE HOUSEMAID, and SPONGEBOB Kick Off a Long Christmas Corridor
The peak holiday runway begins in earnest this weekend with a handful of new releases set for respectable debuts, and likely, even more respectable legs through Christmas and New Year’s.
6-Week Box Office Tracking & Forecasts: AVATAR: FIRE AND ASH ($90M+) Pre-Release Checkpoint, Plus Christmas Week Outlooks and Early MERCY Forecasts
The homestretch of 2025 is here. Can a slew of major studio releases for the holiday peak help push the year close to $9 billion domestically?
Box Office Weekend Forecast: ZOOTOPIA 2 and FIVE NIGHTS AT FREDDY’S 2 to Lead Again Before AVATAR and Friends Arrive for Christmas
One major studio release and two re-issues are on track for modest showings in what should be a relative calm-before-the-holiday-storm weekend.
6-Week Box Office Tracking & Forecasts: AVATAR: FIRE AND ASH ($95M+) Updates, Early Forecasts for 28 YEARS LATER: THE BONE TEMPLE, GREENLAND 2, PRIMATE, and SOULM8TE
2025’s final weeks are coming into shape with expected volatility, while January 2026 looks like another up-and-down post-holiday market.