Box Office Tracking & Forecasts: Nate Bargatze’s THE BREADWINNER, Kane Parsons and A24’s BACKROOMS Adaptation, STAR WARS Pacing, and More
Summer movies are arriving with PRADA 2 and MICHAEL, STAR WARS marches toward a big screen return, Nate Bargatze preps his first big screen feature, and A24 makes an appeal to liminal video game fans.
Box Office Weekend Forecast: THE DEVIL WEARS PRADA 2 ($70-84M+) Set to Join MICHAEL’s ($40M+) Sophomore Frame in Grand Fashion on the Summer Movie Opening Stage
Gird your loins: Summer box office is officially underway this week as PRADA 2 and MICHAEL form a rare, non-superhero, early May tandem kickstarting the industry’s lucrative season.
Box Office Tracking & Forecasts: MICHAEL Still on Target for $74-95M Bow; Updates on DEVIL WEARS PRADA 2, MORTAL KOMBAT II, and STAR WARS: THE MANDALORIAN & GROGU
Summer movie season arrives with MICHAEL pacing for the high end of expectations, PRADA 2 set to hit the runaway in high fashion, plus other May tentpole updates.
Box Office Weekend Forecast: MICHAEL ($74-95M) Hopes to Sing Past the Critics’ Chorus as Tracking Remains Impressive, But With Caution
The story of Michael Jackson’s polarizing life and career will begin on the big screen this weekend in Lionsgate’s anticipated biopic. Will audiences be swayed by reviews?
Box Office Tracking & Forecasts: Will THE MANDALORIAN & GROGU ($71M+ 3-Day) Help Revive STAR WARS on the Big Screen for Memorial Weekend?
Can one of the most beloved characters in the 49-year history of STAR WARS shepherd an effective transition away from the generationally iconic franchise’s streaming-centric era?
Box Office Weekend Forecast: THE SUPER MARIO GALAXY MOVIE Eyes $70M+ Sophomore Frame; PROJECT HAIL MARY Legs to Keep Extending; YOU, ME & TUSCANY Aims for $8M+
Post-Easter weekend will see robust sophomore business for the MARIO sequel as it goes unchallenged across all key demographics.
Box Office Tracking & Forecasts: THE DEVIL WEARS PRADA 2, MICHAEL, and MORTAL KOMBAT II Continue Pacing for a Healthy Pre-Memorial Day Window; MARIO GALAXY Flying to $180-190M+ Start
As MARIO GALAXY dominates Easter weekend, spring movie season is again in a solid spot as year-over-year box office is up more than 23%.
Box Office Weekend Forecast: THE SUPER MARIO GALAXY MOVIE Trending Toward $170-185M+ 5-Day Easter Launch; PROJECT HAIL MARY and THE DRAMA Eye Strong Holiday Takes
With over half of schools around the country out for Good Friday and Easter Sunday, Universal and Illumination’s sequel is (again) perfectly timed.
Box Office Tracking & Forecasts: MORTAL KOMBAT II ($40-45M+) Looks to Land R-Rated Video Game Punch; SUPER MARIO GALAXY & MICHAEL Updates
The video game movie renaissance is poised to continue with Karl Urban’s Johnny Cage highlighting strong early marketing for Warner Bros. and Midway’s MKII.
Box Office Weekend Forecast: PROJECT HAIL MARY Eyes $43-49M+ Second Frame and More PLF Dominance as Stellar Word of Mouth Spreads Like Astrophage
Believe in the Hail Mary… to score an excellent first chase weekend at the box office with no competition and a week to go before SUPER MARIO GALAXY drops.
Box Office Tracking & Forecasts: THE DEVIL WEARS PRADA 2 Shines in Early Trends, Looks to $55M+ May Debut; PROJECT HAIL MARY Soars to $12M in Previews — How High Will It Go?
Summer is poised to start strong with THE DEVIL WEARS PRADA 2 hot in early buzz and pre-sales. Meanwhile, PROJECT HAIL MARY could soar above expectations following stellar preview results.
Box Office Weekend Forecast: Andy Weir’s PROJECT HAIL MARY (~$60-70M+) Tracking for a Breakout Launch, Eyes Potential Amazon MGM Record and Career-Best Debuts for Gosling, Lord, & Miller
Amazon MGM’s most ambitious theatrical release yet could reap the rewards of crowd-pleasing buzz and an audience hunger for 2026’s first “must see on the big screen” tentpole.