The full version of this report appears in Box Office Theory’s Substack newsletter.
Avengers Endgame: Encore (Disney)
BOT Domestic Opening Weekend Forecast Range: $18 — 27 million
Primetime (A24)
BOT Domestic Opening Weekend Forecast Range: $15 — 22 million
Heart of the Beast (Paramount)
BOT Domestic Opening Weekend Forecast Range: $14 — 19 million
Forgotten Island (Universal)
BOT Domestic Opening Weekend Forecast Range: $14 — 19 million
Key Tracking Factors & Rationale:
- After a franchise-best and banner R-rated video game adaptation debut at $60.2 million last weekend, the sophomore frame of Resident Evil will hope to ride out positive reception (95 percent and 91 percent from critics and audiences, respectively, on Rotten Tomatoes). Zach Cregger’s will be able to maintain some premium screen presence, notably in IMAX where it will split showtimes with…
- …Avengers Endgame: Encore. As a re-release promising a handful of minutes of new content and a sneak peak at Avengers: Doomsday, this will be a fan-driven event…
- (view the complete report in our Substack newsletter)
Weekend Forecast
(view the complete top 5 forecast in our Substack newsletter)
All forecasts above are subject to revision prior to the start of the weekend and will be notated accordingly. Theater counts are estimated unless otherwise stated.
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