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Tracking & Forecasts

23 Jan 2026
Tracking & Forecasts

Box Office Tracking & Forecasts: Nate Bargatze’s THE BREADWINNER ($15-19M+) Could Be an Early 2026 Sleeper Hit; Colleen Hoover’s REMINDERS OF HIM Early Outlook and More Updates

  • January 23, 2026
  • By author-avatar Shawn Robbins

Nate Bargatze has dominated the comedy and entertainment worlds in recent years with a far-from-overnight success story. How could his leap to the big screen perform?

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21 Jan 2026
Tracking & Forecasts

Box Office Weekend Forecast: MERCY ($8-10M+) Should Dethrone AVATAR; Fathom’s LORD OF THE RINGS Anniversary Continues; NFL and Winter Weather May Be Problematic

  • January 21, 2026
  • By author-avatar Shawn Robbins

A new #1 film may actually come to fruition for the first time in over a month, but American football playoffs and a significant winter storm could hold back much of the domestic market.

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16 Jan 2026
Tracking & Forecasts

Box Office Tracking & Forecasts: THE BRIDE! and HOPPERS ($15-18M+ Each); 28 YEARS LATER: THE BONE TEMPLE Trending for $15M 4-Day Start

  • January 16, 2026
  • By author-avatar Shawn Robbins

Early outlooks for the first of March’s new release crop, plus updated expectations for this weekend’s 28 YEARS LATER: THE BONE TEMPLE.

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09 Jan 2026
Tracking & Forecasts

Box Office Tracking & Forecasts: WUTHERING HEIGHTS ($50M+) and SCREAM 7 ($28-32M+) to Anchor February and Another Slow Winter Calendar

  • January 9, 2026
  • By author-avatar Shawn Robbins

Can WUTHERING HEIGHTS echo some of the previous decade’s blockbuster romantic hits for Valentine’s? Will SCREAM 7 overcome external discourse and the absence of young stars?

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07 Jan 2026
Tracking & Forecasts

Box Office Weekend Forecast: AVATAR: FIRE AND ASH to Rule 4th Straight Weekend; GREENLAND 2 and PRIMATE Counter for Post-New Year’s Business Against NFL Playoffs

  • January 7, 2026
  • By author-avatar Shawn Robbins

2026’s post-holiday slate may lack major tentpoles in the near future, but (for now) the box office calendar is at least poised for a net-gain compared to the same window last year.

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23 Dec 2025
Tracking & Forecasts

Box Office 4-Day Weekend Forecast (Updated): AVATAR: FIRE AND ASH to Lead as MARTY SUPREME, ANACONDA, and SONG SUNG BLUE Bow on Crowded Christmas Frame

  • December 24, 2025
  • By author-avatar Shawn Robbins

There is something for almost everyone in theaters this weekend. What will the box office hits (and possible misses) of Christmas 2025 be?

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19 Dec 2025
Tracking & Forecasts

6-Week Box Office Tracking & Forecasts: ANACONDA, MARTY SUPREME and Christmas Week Updates; First Outlooks for SEND HELP and January Release Check-Ins

  • December 19, 2025
  • By author-avatar Shawn Robbins

As 2025 winds down, brace for shifting forecasts in the type of crowded market that hasn’t appeared during the holiday window for a few years.

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17 Dec 2025
Tracking & Forecasts

Box Office Weekend Forecast: AVATAR: FIRE AND ASH ($85M+), DAVID, THE HOUSEMAID, and SPONGEBOB Kick Off a Long Christmas Corridor

  • December 17, 2025
  • By author-avatar Shawn Robbins

The peak holiday runway begins in earnest this weekend with a handful of new releases set for respectable debuts, and likely, even more respectable legs through Christmas and New Year’s.

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12 Dec 2025
Tracking & Forecasts

6-Week Box Office Tracking & Forecasts: AVATAR: FIRE AND ASH ($90M+) Pre-Release Checkpoint, Plus Christmas Week Outlooks and Early MERCY Forecasts

  • December 12, 2025
  • By author-avatar Shawn Robbins

The homestretch of 2025 is here. Can a slew of major studio releases for the holiday peak help push the year close to $9 billion domestically?

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10 Dec 2025
Tracking & Forecasts

Box Office Weekend Forecast: ZOOTOPIA 2 and FIVE NIGHTS AT FREDDY’S 2 to Lead Again Before AVATAR and Friends Arrive for Christmas

  • December 10, 2025
  • By author-avatar Shawn Robbins

One major studio release and two re-issues are on track for modest showings in what should be a relative calm-before-the-holiday-storm weekend.

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At Box Office Theory, we're committed to elevating the industry's level of information and planning abilities. With a team of dedicated experts, we provide invaluable insights for theatrical exhibition, film studios, and their vast network of partners. Through meticulous analysis and forward-thinking strategies, we empower our clients to navigate the complexities of the entertainment landscape with confidence.

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