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Tracking & Forecasts

21 May 2025
Tracking & Forecasts

Box Office Weekend Forecast: LILO & STITCH ($190M-200M+ 4-Day) and MISSION: IMPOSSIBLE – THE FINAL RECKONING ($75M-80M+) Barreling Toward Record $325M+ Memorial Frame

  • May 21, 2025
  • By author-avatar Shawn Robbins

After one of the worst Memorial Days in history last year, the page will turn in a seismic way thanks to an adorable modern Disney mascot and Tom Cruise doing what nobody does better.

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16 May 2025
Tracking & Forecasts

Box Office Tracking & Forecasts: F1 ($47M+) and M3GAN 2.0 ($16-21M) Early Prospects; LILO & STITCH and MISSION: IMPOSSIBLE Continue Pacing for Historic Memorial Day Frame

  • May 16, 2025
  • By author-avatar Shawn Robbins

F1 shows early promise as an original midsummer sleeper hit, while Memorial Day continues to look like a potentially record-breaking weekend thanks to STITCH and Tom Cruise’s final MISSION.

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15 May 2025
Tracking & Forecasts

Box Office Weekend Forecast: FINAL DESTINATION: BLOODLINES ($36M+), THUNDERBOLTS*, SINNERS and HURRY UP TOMORROW to Present a Formidable Calm Before Memorial Day’s Storm

  • May 20, 2025
  • By author-avatar Shawn Robbins

Warner Bros.’ modern legacy horror franchise is set to return in a big way ahead of what’s shaping to be a historic Memorial Day weekend.

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09 May 2025
Tracking & Forecasts

Box Office Tracking & Forecasts: 28 YEARS LATER ($41M+) and Pixar’s ELIO ($34M+); Disney’s LILO & STITCH ($130-145M+ 4-Day), MISSION: IMPOSSIBLE and DRAGON Pre-Sales Updates

  • May 9, 2025
  • By author-avatar Shawn Robbins

Danny Boyle & Alex Garland’s anticipated sequel could scare up one of Sony’s best all-time horror performances. Will Pixar’s ELIO herald the next stage of original animation’s rebound at the box office?

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07 May 2025
Tracking & Forecasts

Box Office Weekend Forecast: THUNDERBOLTS*, a.k.a. THE NEW AVENGERS ($35M+) and SINNERS ($24M+) to Continue Reign Over a Relatively Quiet Mother’s Day Frame

  • May 7, 2025
  • By author-avatar Shawn Robbins

There haven’t been many slow weekends on the box office front lately, and this is likely to be among the last for a little awhile as summer truly begins to ramp up.

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02 May 2025
Tracking & Forecasts

Box Office Tracking & Forecasts: HOW TO TRAIN YOUR DRAGON ($65M+) Live-Action Prospects, Sights on MISSION: IMPOSSIBLE and FINAL DESTINATION’s Pre-Sales, & More

  • May 2, 2025
  • By author-avatar Shawn Robbins

Universal and DreamWorks hope to duplicate some of the 2010s Disney live-action era success with the adaptation of one of the most beloved animated films and children’s books of all time.

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30 Apr 2025
Tracking & Forecasts

Box Office Weekend Forecast: THUNDERBOLTS* ($76M+) Commences Summer Movie Season, But SINNERS’ Spring Breakout Is Far from Finished

  • April 30, 2025
  • By author-avatar Shawn Robbins

After a forgettable May last year, the industry is in a much better spot this time around with THUNDERBOLTS* looking to exceed SHANG-CHI, and possibly BLACK WIDOW, among post-ENDGAME Marvel debuts.

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25 Apr 2025
Tracking & Forecasts

Box Office Tracking & Forecasts: THUNDERBOLTS* Check-In ($67-70M+); Preliminary Outlooks for KARATE KID: LEGENDS ($45M+) and BALLERINA ($39M+)

  • April 25, 2025
  • By author-avatar Shawn Robbins

How is the Marvel summer kick-off faring heading into its final tracking week? Will KARATE KID unite generations of fans? Can BALLERINA bring out the JOHN WICK faithful?

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23 Apr 2025
Tracking & Forecasts

Box Office Weekend Forecast: SINNERS to Repeat, Could Net #2 All-Time Horror Sophomore Weekend ($38-40M+); STAR WARS: REVENGE OF THE SITH ($20M+) and THE ACCOUNTANT 2 ($18M+) Continue Tracking Well

  • April 23, 2025
  • By author-avatar Shawn Robbins

Ryan Coogler’s original blockbuster is winning over more than just genre fans and IMAX enthusiasts, showing early signs of what could be a leggy box office run reminiscent of Jordan Peele’s GET OUT.

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17 Apr 2025
Tracking & Forecasts

5-Week Box Office Tracking: LILO & STITCH ($120M+ 4-Day), MISSION: IMPOSSIBLE – THE FINAL RECKONING ($75M+) and THE LAST RODEO ($8M+) Building Toward the Strongest Memorial Day Set Since 2013

  • April 17, 2025
  • By author-avatar Shawn Robbins

Tom Cruise, Disney’s first major 2000s era nostalgia event, and another smartly timed Angel Studios release could combine to rival some of the great Memorial Day box office hauls.

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At Box Office Theory, we're committed to elevating the industry's level of information and planning abilities. With a team of dedicated experts, we provide invaluable insights for theatrical exhibition, film studios, and their vast network of partners. Through meticulous analysis and forward-thinking strategies, we empower our clients to navigate the complexities of the entertainment landscape with confidence.

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