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Tracking & Forecasts

01 Oct 2025
Tracking & Forecasts

Box Office Weekend Forecast: TAYLOR SWIFT ($33M+), SMASHING MACHINE ($8-10M+), ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER’s Sophomore Frame and GOOD BOY to Stand Above a Field of Mid-to-Low Profile Openers

  • October 1, 2025
  • By author-avatar Shawn Robbins

Taylor Swift is back to give the box office a much needed boost on a weekend where openers are looking muted and the holdover market lacks the benefit of recent tentpole performers in chase frames.

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26 Sep 2025
Tracking & Forecasts

6-Week Box Office Tracking & Forecasts: TAYLOR SWIFT | THE OFFICIAL RELEASE PARTY OF A SHOWGIRL ($38-40M+) and PREDATOR: BADLANDS ($25M+) Early Outlooks

  • September 26, 2025
  • By author-avatar Shawn Robbins

If models hold up, Taylor Swift will be second only to Taylor Swift in concert- and concert-adjacent box office opening weekends. Plus, can PREDATOR: BADLANDS mimic some of the ALIEN: ROMULUS franchise revival heat?

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24 Sep 2025
Tracking & Forecasts

Box Office Weekend Forecast: ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER ($20M+) to Lean on DiCaprio’s Drawing Power; GABBY’S DOLLHOUSE and THE STRANGERS: CHAPTER 2 to Counter

  • September 24, 2025
  • By author-avatar Shawn Robbins

Pre-release narratives are already debating whether PTA and Leo’s crime comedy will be successful from a budget standpoint, but theaters and moviegoers are already winners with OBAA’s release.

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19 Sep 2025
Tracking & Forecasts

6-Week Box Office Tracking & Forecasts: BACK TO THE FUTURE & TWILIGHT Re-Issues to Highlight Halloween; ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER and More Updates

  • September 19, 2025
  • By author-avatar Shawn Robbins

The fall slate continues to take shape as reach the end of October’s outlook in our public report.

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17 Sep 2025
Tracking & Forecasts

Box Office Weekend Forecast: HIM ($18M+) Takes on DEMON SLAYER: INFINITY CASTLE’s 2nd Frame ($13M+), THE CONJURING’s 3rd Chase Weekend, and Other Openers

  • September 17, 2025
  • By author-avatar Shawn Robbins

A fresh sports-horror hybrid and key holdovers will strive to keep September’s better-than-expected market rolling along.

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12 Sep 2025
Tracking & Forecasts

6-Week Box Office Tracking & Forecasts: BLACK PHONE 2, SPRINGSTEEN, GOOD FORTUNE, REGRETTING YOU, and More Updates

  • September 12, 2025
  • By author-avatar Shawn Robbins

Returning to our 6-week outlooks, October’s key theatrical players are beginning to come into full view.

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10 Sep 2025
Tracking & Forecasts

Box Office Weekend Forecast: DEMON SLAYER: INFINITY CASTLE ($70M+), DOWNTON ABBEY: THE GRAND FINALE ($19M+), and CONJURING’s Holdover to Drive Strong Mid-Month Frame

  • September 10, 2025
  • By author-avatar Shawn Robbins

Anime goes as mainstream as it’s ever gone in the domestic market this weekend thanks to DEMON SLAYER, while DOWNTON ABBEY and THE LONG WALK aim to counter-program with varying degrees of results.

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05 Sep 2025
Tracking & Forecasts

5-Week Box Office Tracking & Forecasts: TRON: ARES Hopes to Boot Up $42-46M+ Domestic Start, Premium Screens Dominate Early Pre-Sales

  • March 19, 2026
  • By author-avatar Shawn Robbins

Plus, DEMON SLAYER: INFINITY CASTLE continues to bewilder as domestic box office expectations soar higher.

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04 Sep 2025
Tracking & Forecasts

Box Office Weekend Forecast: THE CONJURING: LAST RITES Eyes Franchise Record ($60M+) Debut, HAMILTON to Score Strong Counter-Programming Win

  • March 19, 2026
  • By author-avatar Shawn Robbins

Warner Bros.’ horror- and horror-adjacent dominance over September records will extend further this weekend, while Disney counters with one of the most successful musicals of all time.

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29 Aug 2025
Tracking & Forecasts

5-Week Box Office Tracking & Forecasts: CONJURING ($50M+), DEMON SLAYER ($50M+), and DOWNTON ABBEY’s Finale Trifecta Poised to Drive Stronger-than-Expected September

  • August 29, 2025
  • By author-avatar Shawn Robbins

Despite lamenting the absence of a BEETLEJUICE BEETLEJUICE-type singular performance from last year, this September’s key releases may be able to hold their own in the aggregate.

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At Box Office Theory, we're committed to elevating the industry's level of information and planning abilities. With a team of dedicated experts, we provide invaluable insights for theatrical exhibition, film studios, and their vast network of partners. Through meticulous analysis and forward-thinking strategies, we empower our clients to navigate the complexities of the entertainment landscape with confidence.

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