The full version of this report appears in Box Office Theory’s Substack newsletter.
Spider-Man: Brand New Day (Sony)
BOT Domestic Opening Weekend Forecast Range: view on Substack
Studio Tracking: $195 million
The Odyssey (Universal)
BOT Domestic 3rd Weekend Forecast Range: view on Substack
Key Tracking Factors & Rationale:
- The first live-action Peter Parker movie in nearly five years continues to soar in final pre-release tracking. Spider-Man: Brand New Day‘s excellent reviews (91 percent Certified Fresh from 158 critics on Rotten Tomatoes) only add to the weekend’s potential.
- When we start talking numbers this large, all variables of context have to be kept in mind. For starters, the Spidey and broader Marvel franchises are massively pre-sale focused, which warrants at least some caution for ballooning expectations as the weekend approaches.
- (view the complete analysis in our Substack newsletter)
Weekend Forecast
(view the complete top 5 forecast in our Substack newsletter)
All forecasts above are subject to revision prior to the start of the weekend and will be notated accordingly. Theater counts are estimated unless otherwise stated.
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